In response to Beijing’s tightening political control and leadership purges within the PLA in early 2026, Taiwan’s ruling Democratic Progressive Party has accelerated its $40 billion Special Budget for asymmetric warfare. Taipei views the consolidation of power under Chinese leader Xi Jinping as a shift from gray-zone coercion toward preparation for a potential 2027 invasion window. U.S. officials assess that the PLA is nearing the capability to conduct missile strikes, enforce blockades, and carry out a full amphibious invasion.
As of February 2026, Taiwan’s legislature, the Legislative Yuan, remains locked in a standoff between the ruling administration and opposition parties over two competing versions of the Special Defense Budget.
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