U.S. births decline in 2025, CDC provisional data shows
Provisional data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) shows just over 3.6 million U.S. births in 2025, about 24,000 fewer than in 2024, with final totals expected to change only slightly.
Experts note that although births ticked up in 2024, the fertility rate continued to decline and long-term U.S. birth trends have generally fallen for nearly two decades.
Separate figures from BirthGauge indicate that all 50 states are now below the replacement fertility level of 2.1 children per woman.
The Congressional Budget Office projects that U.S. deaths will outnumber births by 2030, a shift with potential consequences for the workforce, entitlement programs and economic growth.
Analysts cite economic pressures, delayed marriage and parenthood and broader cultural factors as contributors to declining fertility, while polling from Gallup and Marist Poll shows abortion attitudes trending more pro-choice in recent years.
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