As the midterms draw nearer, every evaluation of President Trump is viewed as a predictor of how people will vote. Claims that Trump has only a 39 percent approval rating are concerning because they suggest Republicans could lose their congressional majority.
Historically, the 50 percent approval mark has acted as a break-even point. Presidents below 50 percent have seen their party lose an average of 37 House seats in the midterms, while presidents above that mark still usually lose seats, but by a much smaller margin, roughly 14 seats.
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