If affordability dominates the midterm cycle – and it certainly may – then Donald Trump enters the fray with a pretty good hand.
The latest economic developments have buoyed the White House as it girds for the fight to hold the House and Senate. Annualized real GDP reports for the third quarter of 2025 showed explosive growth above inflation, hitting 4.3%, a two-year high. The trade deficit “unexpectedly” improved to its best showing in 16 years, a result of Trump’s tariff policies. The risk of both would normally be spiking inflation.
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