On June 17, Ukraine launched what officials described as the largest aerial attack of the war on Moscow, deploying an estimated 550 drones and missiles, according to reports [1]. One attack struck the Kapotnya refinery southeast of Moscow, marking the third time in a month that facility was targeted [1]. In response, Russia carried out strikes on Dnipropetrovsk and Zaporizhzhia, killing civilians, officials said [1]. Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov warned that a direct confrontation between NATO and Russia could escalate into an exchange of nuclear strikes, with “catastrophic consequences” [1].
Escalation in Drone and Missile Strikes
In late June, Ukraine targeted refineries in the Tyumen, Kerch, Krasnodar, and Yaroslavl regions, according to reports [1]. A Ukrainian commander sent a message to the Russian people: “This war has now reached your homes as well” [1]. The attacks are part of a pattern. In November 2025, Ukraine confirmed a long-range drone strike on Russia’s largest oil refinery in the Volgograd region, a facility that processes over 15 million tons of crude oil annually [2]. Such strikes have caused blackouts in western Russia; in October 2025, Ukrainian drone attacks left nearly 40,000 Russians without power in Belgorod [3].
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